In a Washington Post Op-Ed published
on June 22nd, 2004 by Jackson Diehl entitled “Backing
Bush’s Mideast Vision,” the author argues that,
despite any misgiving about President Bush’s policies,
Bush opened the door for the discussion of democracy in the
Middle East. Despite the unpopularity of President Bush and
his Road Map plan for peace, Europeans, American on both sides
of the political spectrum and some Arabs have rallied around
his cry for democratic reform. While many may disagree with
the method by which President Bush has chosen to pursue these
goals there has also been broad agreement around the world
in favor of reform in the Arab world. Diehl believes that
even though the combination of recent events has tied the
President’s hands and severely weakened his Road Map
Plan, it was his continual attention to democratization that
paved the way for this new call for democracy in the Middle
East.
“A lot of these people don't think
much of George Bush, which is one reason why the coalition
hasn't entirely coalesced. But almost all of them say that
Bush's preaching on democracy over the past year, and the
modest action that has come with it, has changed the terms
of debate about the future of the Middle East, both in and
outside the region. Bush's campaign "frightened people,"
King Abdullah of Jordan said in an interview here last week.
"But it also allowed some of us to say that if we don't
come up with our own initiative, something will be forced
on us. And once you say you are going to reform, you trigger
a process that you can't turn back…"
“Another indicator comes in the release
of a paper this week by a cross section of parliamentarians
and policymakers from the United States and Europe, few of
them supporters of Bush but all of them ardent advocates of
democratic change in the Middle East… In essence the
group's paper calls for a more muscular version of the Bush
policy -- without the compromises forced by transatlantic
tensions and the blow back from Iraq. While it acknowledges
the need for homegrown Arab reform movements, it emphasizes
that these are most likely to arise outside existing governments.
It argues that the West should focus on supporting these movements
while linking aid, trade and other cooperation with governments
to concrete progress on reform -- particularly in those countries,
such as Egypt, where the regimes are both U.S. clients and
entrenched autocracies.”
"’The West cannot export democracy
as such. At the same time, the West can and in our view, must
play a critical supporting role from the outside -- as it
has in democratic breakthroughs and transitions in other parts
of the world," says the paper, which was developed in
months of transatlantic discussions sponsored by the German
Marshall Fund. "This is a generational project for which
we must summon historic staying power.’"
“If it all sounds a lot like Bush's
vision, that is part of the point -- to show that there is
a constituency for a Middle East democracy movement extending
well beyond this White House. "What we were trying to
do is demonstrate that it's possible to build a bipartisan
coalition for this vision across the aisle and across the
Atlantic," says Asmus. "The Bush administration
has made a start. The question is will we follow up and will
we come up with a long-term blueprint."
“The next step is unlikely to come from
an administration preoccupied with Iraq and the upcoming election
or from Arab governments. Progress on Middle East democracy
will depend on independent movements seizing on the space
Bush has opened and widening it. The German Marshall coalition
aims its paper at similar groups of activists and intellectuals
in the Arab world, some of which have produced their own groundbreaking
manifestos in recent months. Taken together, the voices of
these pro-democracy networks are still drowned out by the
naysayers and skeptics, in the region and even in Washington.
But time, and history, are probably on their side.”