Turkmenistan’s First Steps Towards Democracy?
“Turkmenistan: Presidential Election Deemed Neither Free Nor Fair”
By Bruce Pannier
February 12, 2007
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Turkmenistan’s acting president, Gurbanguly Berdymukhammedov, was elected President on February 12th, 2007, after reportedly receiving 89% of the total 98.65% voter turnout. Berdymukhammedov was one of six candidates attempting to succeed President-for-Life Saparmurat Niyazov, who died unexpectedly in December, in the country’s first multi-candidate Presidential election. However, international observers in Turkmenistan judged that “the elections were absolutely not free and fair.”

RFE/RL correspondents reported low voter turnout in the areas they monitored, which contradicts the near-impossible 98.65% country-wide turnout. Moreover, many observers claim that the election itself was a façade; Erika Dailey, director of the Open Society Institute’s Turkmenistan Project, said that “‘among the six candidates there were no significant differences in platform and since they were all representing the same [political] party, the vote in an of itself is not significant.’” She went on to describe the Turkmen election as being closer to the primary elections in western democracies.

Despite the unsurprising outcome of an un-free election in an extremely closed society, observers believe there are still reasons to be optimistic. Dailey stresses that “for the first time people inside Turkmenistan have the opportunity to elect somebody who has already promised change, who has broken certain taboos, for example talking about certain social problems; everything from drug addiction to the failure of the education system.”

One of Berdymukhammedov’s campaign promises -- better access to the internet -- is already being enacted, as the country’s first internet cafés have recently opened in Ashgabat, the capital. AP journalists report that all websites, including opposition ones, are accessible and there are no efforts to monitor users or the sites they visit. Previously internet access was extremely restrictive and was hindered by government filters.

Although the café’s relatively high rates may hamper the average Turkmen from capitalizing on the relaxed internet restrictions, some observers believe that the establishment of these cafés and the holding of a multi-candidate Presidential election may mean that Turkmenistan is slowly heading down the path towards democracy.

Other sources:
http://www.iht.com/articles/ap/2007/02/20/asia/AS-GEN-Turkmenistan-Living-In-Fear.php
http://www.cnn.com/2007/WORLD/asiapcf/02/16/turkmmenistan.webcafe.ap/
http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2007/02/15/AR2007021500897.html


Questions:
CCD is interested in the opinion of our readers, especially on unfolding events in our field. Turkmenistan recently held a presidential election that was widely perceived as neither free nor fair, but some believe the country is taking small steps towards democracy. What do you think?

1. Will Berdymukhammedov steer the country towards democracy? Will he keep his campaign promises of reform?
2. What are the best ways for a formerly autocratic country to transition to democracy?
3. How can a previously closed off society open up? Should social reform come before or after government reform?

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